Economics

These Are the Signs a U.S. Recession May Be Coming

Krugman on the government shutdown, the Fed’s policy, and why a U.S. recession is likely in the next two years.(Source: Bloomberg)
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As headwinds spanning trade wars to slowing global growth buffet the U.S. economy, talk of a possible recession is picking up, leaving investors sifting through reams of data for clues.

While almost all economists surveyed by Bloomberg expect growth to stay positive this year -- which would crown the current expansion the longest on record, at more than 10 years -- the risk of a recession is seen at a six-year high. In fact, more than three-quarters of corporate chief financial officers expect one by the end of 2020.